Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.700721 0.801685 0.911157 1.038553 1.182615 1.340353 1.526034
2025-02-02 0.570782 0.713382 0.880990 1.092018 1.350085 1.654843 2.041462
2025-02-09 0.455832 0.618517 0.824542 1.103350 1.469429 1.932178 2.559784
2025-02-16 0.366047 0.536456 0.767799 1.102483 1.571525 2.202271 3.110911
2025-02-23 0.299218 0.471286 0.720499 1.103974 1.674494 2.486133 3.720905
2025-03-02 0.246759 0.415909 0.676183 1.100310 1.767080 2.765854 4.362708
2025-03-09 0.210459 0.377841 0.650265 1.118271 1.892106 3.106926 5.138483
2025-03-16 0.176383 0.336429 0.611254 1.107665 1.968485 3.380637 5.843353
2025-03-23 0.154974 0.312640 0.597091 1.135063 2.109333 3.772633 6.785264
2025-03-30 0.131964 0.281252 0.563885 1.122816 2.178346 4.050742 7.567145
2025-04-06 0.116435 0.261248 0.548006 1.139063 2.299257 4.431015 8.569361
2025-04-13 0.098819 0.233429 0.512194 1.110870 2.331744 4.653928 9.310598
2025-04-20 0.090218 0.223635 0.511720 1.154474 2.512310 5.178539 10.686618
2025-04-27 0.083826 0.217603 0.518205 1.213633 2.732581 5.805916 12.334856
2025-05-04 0.074681 0.203239 0.504098 1.226212 2.857571 6.259539 13.692206
2025-05-11 0.065914 0.187976 0.485321 1.225294 2.953116 6.663884 14.995264
2025-05-18 0.058520 0.174670 0.468844 1.226967 3.054318 7.091171 16.393925
2025-05-25 0.051831 0.161810 0.451203 1.222937 3.141554 7.497690 17.792497
2025-06-01 0.047128 0.153510 0.443700 1.242789 3.287733 8.050686 19.573717
2025-06-08 0.041667 0.141769 0.425062 1.231080 3.355218 8.431974 21.007899
2025-06-15 0.038484 0.136272 0.422476 1.261351 3.531712 9.085977 23.140959
2025-06-22 0.034137 0.126081 0.404857 1.247826 3.593565 9.473254 24.684457
2025-06-29 0.031294 0.120207 0.398782 1.265775 3.740973 10.085129 26.834153